Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 6.541758 7.620162 8.785669 10.134664 11.648585 13.290688 15.201946
2026-02-01 4.860465 6.244891 7.858690 9.862437 12.266077 15.038660 18.459366
2026-02-08 3.846823 5.342472 7.191926 9.613970 12.665975 16.346060 21.076823
2026-02-15 3.102967 4.619554 6.594937 9.303322 12.860672 17.310245 23.224424
2026-02-22 2.674364 4.230767 6.350975 9.372950 13.481381 18.776656 26.007096
2026-03-01 2.322194 3.889835 6.116342 9.404487 14.015703 20.119431 28.653294
2026-03-08 2.046826 3.618170 5.938320 9.478005 14.583112 21.503124 31.382563
2026-03-15 1.799874 3.353630 5.735683 9.484225 15.035073 22.727560 33.923461
2026-03-22 1.650114 3.222421 5.714253 9.742861 15.845425 24.463396 37.212169
2026-03-29 1.507196 3.082575 5.661385 9.940402 16.563985 26.085638 40.387810
2026-04-05 1.353365 2.902832 5.524279 9.989372 17.051494 27.383525 43.136897
2026-04-12 1.158754 2.622562 5.192046 9.696734 16.990824 27.866800 44.717879
2026-04-19 0.998321 2.385806 4.912888 9.471323 17.023740 28.493742 46.541364
2026-04-26 0.854918 2.160920 4.630710 9.215191 16.985832 29.002660 48.197806
2026-05-03 0.734019 1.962867 4.375145 8.980213 16.959962 29.516360 49.863703
2026-05-10 0.622646 1.766547 4.100745 8.686472 16.812209 29.823071 51.210958
2026-05-17 0.564421 1.680457 4.029958 8.752303 17.268625 31.091834 54.069253
2026-05-24 0.508949 1.591784 3.944406 8.782120 17.659875 32.264108 56.805531
2026-05-31 0.463035 1.518919 3.883358 8.851637 18.119565 33.557604 59.763972
2026-06-07 0.416566 1.436617 3.793623 8.857518 18.462771 34.666662 62.454873
2026-06-14 0.393150 1.411746 3.825143 9.102119 19.243582 36.522107 66.388967
2026-06-21 0.367289 1.375854 3.828461 9.288986 19.924641 38.228252 70.121946
2026-06-28 0.334219 1.313481 3.765419 9.335315 20.345599 39.504374 73.182584